Outcomes and Endpoints
Written and curated by Emily Potts, MS, Jimmy Duong, MPH, and Shing Lee, PhD.
Overview
A quality outcome or endpoint will be clinically meaningful, straightforward to collect, and will be sensitive to address research questions of interest. It is also crucial that the measure be feasible to be reliably ascertained in all study participants within the study time frame. Other important considerations in the choice of an outcome are bias (such as self-reporting bias), loss to follow-up, and missing data. The primary endpoint should follow directly from the study's specific aim and primary research question. It dictates the data collection and statistical analysis plan, including calculations for sample size or power. Secondary endpoints can also be chosen to answer secondary research questions or generate hypotheses for future studies. In clinical trials and other prospective studies, types of outcomes include clinical, surrogate, patient-reported, and composite outcomes. In retrospective observational studies, there are often constraints in the choice of endpoint based on measures in existing electronic health record (EHR) data or cohort studies.
Videos
- 2022 Statistics Lecture Series: Outcome Measures - NIH (48 minutes)
- Includes characteristics of well-defined outcomes and types.
- Selection of Outcomes - Trinity College Dublin (25 minutes)
- Importance in early design phases, challenges and solutions, measurement considerations.
- Primary and secondary endpoints in a clinical trial (4 minutes)
- Includes examples in the context of multiple myeloma.
- Clinical Endpoints and outcomes (19 minutes)
- Covers efficacy and safety; quality of life measures; primary and secondary outcomes; and surrogate endpoints.
- Biomarkers and Surrogate Endpoints in Drug Development (2 minutes)
- Composite Endpoints: Useful But Sometimes Misleading - University of Alabama (9 minutes)
- In-depth clinical example.
- Choosing Endpoints and Outcomes in Pragmatic Clinical Trials - NIH (7 minutes)
- Quality of Life: Patient Reported Outcomes - NIH (30 minutes)
Websites
- Objectives and Endpoints - Penn State University | Archive
- Clinical Endpoints - European network for Health Technology Assessment | Archive
- Discusses PROs, surrogate, and composite endpoints.
- Endpoints and Outcomes - International Society of Nephrology | Archive
- List of considerations when choosing an outcome, with list of links.
- A Roadmap for Developing Study Endpoints in Real-World Settings - Duke University | Archive
- Choosing and Specifying Endpoints and Outcomes - NIH Pragmatic Trials Collaboratory | Archive
- Outcomes from routine care, mobile health, EHR data.
- Aims/Objectives versus Outcome Measures - University of Colorado Denver | Archive
Readings
- Iwashyna, T. J., & McPeake, J. (2018). Choosing outcomes for clinical trials: a pragmatic perspective. Current opinion in critical care, 24(5), 428–433. https://doi.org/10.1097/MCC.0000000000000532
- Purna Singh, A., Shahapur, P. R., Vadakedath, S., Bharadwaj, V. G., Kumar, D. P., Pinnelli, V. B., Godishala, V., & Kandi, V. (2022). Research Question, Objectives, and Endpoints in Clinical and Oncological Research: A Comprehensive Review. Cureus, 14(9), e29575. https://doi.org/10.7759/cureus.29575
- Ording, A. G., Cronin-Fenton, D., Ehrenstein, V., Lash, T. L., Acquavella, J., Rørth, M., & Sørensen, H. T. (2016). Challenges in translating endpoints from trials to observational cohort studies in oncology. Clinical epidemiology, 8, 195–200. https://doi.org/10.2147/CLEP.S97874
- Hanson B. (2008). The art of choosing sound study endpoints. Injury, 39(6), 656–658. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2008.02.014
- Othus, M., Zhang, MJ. & Gale, R.P. Clinical trials: design, endpoints and interpretation of outcomes. Bone Marrow Transplant 57, 338–342 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41409-021-01542-0
- Andrade C. (2015). The primary outcome measure and its importance in clinical trials. The Journal of clinical psychiatry, 76(10), e1320–e1323. https://doi.org/10.4088/JCP.15f10377
- Coster W. J. (2013). Making the best match: selecting outcome measures for clinical trials and outcome studies. The American journal of occupational therapy : official publication of the American Occupational Therapy Association, 67(2), 162–170. https://doi.org/10.5014/ajot.2013.006015
- Wilson, M. K., Collyar, D., Chingos, D. T., Friedlander, M., Ho, T. W., Karakasis, K., Kaye, S., Parmar, M. K., Sydes, M. R., Tannock, I. F., & Oza, A. M. (2015). Outcomes and endpoints in cancer trials: bridging the divide. The Lancet. Oncology, 16(1), e43–e52. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(14)70380-8